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Blog by Michael Clay

European Commission Predicts Poland's GDP Growth Highest in EU

Michael Clay - Wednesday, March 03, 2010
European Commission Predicts Poland's GDP Growth Highest in EU

Poland's GDP is expected to grow by 2.6% in 2010 versus 1.8% forecast earlier, while HICP is seen at 2.3% vs November assumption for 1.9%, the European Commission's revised forecast shows.

"The recovery would continue to be driven by exports, which will benefit from the rebound in external demand and the lagging positive effects of the past exchange rate depreciation," the interim forecast reads.

The FX effect will however gradually fade away and domestic demand will become the main driver of growth in 2010, the forecast reads on.
Investment is projected to recover slowly after the drop recorded in 2009, which will reflect "robust public spending in capital expenditure, firming-up production expectations and improved perception of the Polish economy among foreign investors," the EC forecasts.

"Private consumption is expected to contribute moderately positively to growth," supported by a marked increase in social transfers and better-than-expected developments in the labor market.


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